BEFORE & AFTER FOLEY

(Via MysteryPollster)

I should name the source simply "Pollster" because the original Mystery Pollster, Mark Blumenthal, has been joined by others but he gets credit here for making many illuminating posts about polls and polling.

The point here is that the Foley Scandal has hurt the GOP, at least for now. There's a further breakdown by likely versus registered voters but here's the conclusion:

Consistent with past criticism, the likely voter model appears to be producing more volatile results, particularly for Gallup. But for all the sound and fury of the debate, likely voters and registed voters are looking more or less the same.