I used the U of A library to get access to this paper and found a pretty interesting comparison of business cycles that roughly corresponds to the Raygun, Clinton and 1st seven years of the criminal Bush regime.Title: A "second opinion" on the economic health of the American middle classAuthor(s): Richard V. Burkhauser , Jeff Larrimore and Kosali I. SimonSource: National Tax Journal. 65.1 (Mar. 2012): p7.
Raygun period:
Panel A: 1979-1989 Business Cycle Mean Income Growth (%), by
Income Quintile
Household Household
Size- Size-Adjusted
Adjusted Post-Tax
Post-tax Post-Transfer
Post- + Health
Transfer Insurance (1)
Bottom quintile 0.4 0.4
2nd quintile 1.0 1.0
Middle quintile 11.7 11.7
4th quintile 15.6 15.6
Top quintile 28.1 28.1
Top 10 percent 27.4 33.7
Top 5 percent 32.0 39.5
1979 Gini 0.349 0.330
1989 Gini 0.394 0.372Adding in health insurance only made a difference in the top 10 percent and overall, the bottom 40% experienced essentially no growth in these years.
Clinton period:
Panel B: 1989-2000 Business Cycle Mean Income Growth (%), by
Income Quintile
Household Household
Size- Size-Adjusted
Adjusted Post-Tax
Post-tax Post-Transfer
Post- + Health
Transfer Insurance
Bottom quintile 20.4 23.2
2nd quintile 15.2 18.2
Middle quintile 14.5 16.8
4th quintile 13.8 15.5
Top quintile 14.8 15.5
Top 10 percent 17.0 15.2
Top 5 percent 16.6 15.1
1989 Gini 0.394 0.372
2000 Gini 0.390 0.364Every group except the top 10% gained from including health insurance and
unlike the Raygun years ALL groups had a significant gain in income.
Bush period (2000 to 2007 only):
Panel C: 2000-2007 Business Cycle Mean Income Growth (%), by
Income Quintile
Household Household
Size- Size-Adjusted
Adjusted Post-Tax
Post-tax Post-Transfer
Post- + Health
Transfer Insurance
Bottom quintile -4.8 2.2
2nd quintile -1.2 4.7
Middle quintile 1.2 4.9
4th quintile 2.3 5.2
Top quintile 1.5 3.1
Top 10 percent -2.0 1.3
Top 5 percent -3.4 1.5
2000 Gini 0.390 0.364
2007 Gini 0.396 0.362An obvious conclusion is that the infamous Bush tax cuts were pretty much a FAIL.
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