Sunday, February 03, 2008

UH OH, DOUBTS ABOUT THE WARM FUZZIES

(Via Memeo)

I wrote below that I emotionally prefer Barack to Hillary but I keep finding these factual reasons to have doubts about Barack. Paul Krugman shares a new analysis of health care proposals:
So the Obama plan would leave more people uninsured than the Clinton plan. How big is the difference?

To answer this question you need to make a detailed analysis of health care decisions. That’s what Jonathan Gruber of M.I.T., one of America’s leading health care economists, does in a new paper.

Mr. Gruber finds that a plan without mandates, broadly resembling the Obama plan, would cover 23 million of those currently uninsured, at a taxpayer cost of $102 billion per year. An otherwise identical plan with mandates would cover 45 million of the uninsured — essentially everyone — at a taxpayer cost of $124 billion. Over all, the Obama-type plan would cost $4,400 per newly insured person, the Clinton-type plan only $2,700.

Barack can of course change his position (and so can Hillary) and there's often a big difference between what a candidate promises and what's doable, but this raises a doubt about Barack.

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