Monday, May 19, 2008

McCAIN CONFUSES ISRAEL WITH THE U.S.

In McWAR's little spat with Obama about foreign policy, McWAR makes this whopper:
McCain said Obama did not have an appropriate grasp of the danger Iran poses to the U.S.

"Senator Obama claimed that the threat Iran poses to our security is 'tiny' compared to the threat once posed by the former Soviet Union," McCain said during a speech in Chicago.

"Obviously, Iran isn't a superpower and doesn't possess the military power the Soviet Union had, but that does not mean that the threat posed by Iran is insignificant.

"Should Iran acquire nuclear weapons, that danger would become very dire, indeed," McCain said.

There are several problems with McWAR's statement, starting with his assumption that a nuclear armed Iran would in fact be a threat to the U.S. Even if Iran had a bomb, how would it deliver it to the U.S.? (Even Cheney thinks Iran won't have an ICBM until late in the next decade.) And why wouldn't deterrence work as it did with the former Soviet Union? In addition, just getting enough uranium or plutonium will take Iran several more years, according to the 2007 NIE on Iran:
We judge with moderate confidence Iran probably would be technically capable of producing enough HEU for a weapon sometime during the 2010-2015 time frame. (INR judges Iran is unlikely to achieve this capability before 2013 because of foreseeable technical and programmatic problems.) All agencies recognize the possibility that this capability may not be attained until after 2015.

G. We judge with high confidence that Iran will not be technically capable of producing and reprocessing enough plutonium for a weapon before about 2015.

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