WHY McCAIN WILL LOSE

It's simple, really. He'll lose because the Rove Coalition has fallen apart. McWAR can't keep the Fundies behind him and he can't keep the Tancredo-style anti-immigrant crowd behind him. Just today, John Hawkins at Right Wing News wrote that he will not support McCain because of the immigration issue. Hawkins goes for the jugular:

Put very simply: John McCain is a liar. He's a man without honor, without integrity, who could not have captured the Republican nomination had he run on making comprehensive immigration a top priority of his administration.

According to Techorati, Hawkins blog is ranked 4th in Wingnut World, so this is a pretty big denunciation.

UPDATE: Miss Internment Camp has the same opinion of McCain.