Wednesday, June 13, 2012

LOCAL WINGNUT LIES & WHINING

You may know that PPP predicted that Ron Barber would defeat Jesse Kelly in the AZ CD-8 special election, 53% to 41%.  Last night, one of the guests on KQTH's election coverage show stated that PPP was a terrible polling organization.  That's not what I recalled and there's some data to back that up.

In 2010, Nate Silver did an analysis of pollster accuracy and found that PPP was in the top 15:
Ratings for firms with at least 10 polls


You should read this post by Mark Blumenthal for a few caveats.

Today, John Justice is attributing Kelly's huge loss to his lousy campaign instead of the fact that Kelly is a mean-spirited haughty prick.

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