Tuesday, January 15, 2013

WAS ANN COULTER CORRECT?

She claimed that the homicide rate for just the white population of the US was the same as the white population of Belgium and the responses I read didn't give the facts of the matter.

The FBI has murder statistics for 2011 here and there were 5,825 white victims and 6,329 black victims. I couldn't find census estimates for 2011 but I did find the actual numbers for 2010 and I'll use those numbers instead:
TOTAL WHITES 223,553,000
TOTAL BLACKS 38,929,000

For 2011, the FBI determines that that overall murder/negligent homicide rate is 4.8 per 100,000.  The rate for the white population is 2.6056 per 100,000. The rate for the black population 16.2578 per 100,000. Thus, the black rate is about 6.24 times the white rate.  Finally, according to this OECD report, in 2008 the overall homicide rate in Belgium was 1.7 per 100,000.  I didn't find any breakdown by race.

So, Coulter was wrong but the homicide rate among blacks is very disturbing and strongly suggests that we need to give special attention to this problem among black Americans.

UPDATE: Matt Springer at Science Blogs also looked at the data and arrived at similar numerical results.

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