THIS COULD BE WORTH A BLANK CHECK

Over the weekend, I read a brief interview with a researcher who described his efforts toward determining "what we can learn from history" and in the course of the interview, he mentioned that pundits are often wrong about what the future will be.  He also mentioned that the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Agency was soliciting work on this problem and I think Lessons Learned Knowledge Management is the program he was referring to. This might be a way to rid us of neo-conservatives once and for all. :-)

UPDATE: I found my source:

HOW TO WIN AT FORECASTING

A Conversation with Philip Tetlock [12.6.12]

Topic:CULTURE

Introduction By: Daniel Kahneman